Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004104 0.004315 0.004531 0.004769 0.005025 0.005291 0.005590
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003687 0.003996 0.004327 0.004707 0.005134 0.005601 0.006152
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003501 0.003875 0.004287 0.004776 0.005343 0.005986 0.006773
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003323 0.003739 0.004206 0.004775 0.005454 0.006244 0.007245
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003159 0.003603 0.004111 0.004742 0.005511 0.006431 0.007628
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002994 0.003452 0.003986 0.004660 0.005498 0.006522 0.007887
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002857 0.003328 0.003883 0.004595 0.005498 0.006620 0.008153
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002769 0.003257 0.003840 0.004599 0.005578 0.006820 0.008555
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002614 0.003096 0.003678 0.004444 0.005446 0.006735 0.008568
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002548 0.003043 0.003647 0.004455 0.005525 0.006928 0.008964
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002531 0.003049 0.003691 0.004560 0.005732 0.007299 0.009626
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002446 0.002966 0.003615 0.004505 0.005719 0.007367 0.009858
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002370 0.002893 0.003552 0.004465 0.005727 0.007466 0.010144
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002292 0.002815 0.003479 0.004408 0.005708 0.007525 0.010374
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002267 0.002804 0.003494 0.004471 0.005859 0.007832 0.010995
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002219 0.002761 0.003465 0.004470 0.005918 0.008007 0.011420
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002162 0.002705 0.003415 0.004439 0.005930 0.008112 0.011738
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002093 0.002630 0.003337 0.004365 0.005875 0.008110 0.011880
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002033 0.002566 0.003272 0.004306 0.005840 0.008136 0.012068
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001997 0.002534 0.003250 0.004309 0.005897 0.008307 0.012508
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001914 0.002434 0.003132 0.004167 0.005730 0.008118 0.012319
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001885 0.002409 0.003117 0.004177 0.005793 0.008296 0.012777
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001886 0.002426 0.003161 0.004273 0.005993 0.008702 0.013666